Como vs AS Roma: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
The Footlab AI model makes Como the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for AS Roma. The most likely score is 1-1. If Como wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Como vs AS Roma?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Como (2,198) and AS Roma (2,206).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Como vs AS Roma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Como
4-2-3-1- 9T. Douvikas
- 20M. Baturina
- 10N. Paz
- 11Assane Diao
- 7L. da Cunha
- 6Luis Milla
- 4Jacobo Ramón Naveros
- 27Yan Couto
- 3Álex Valle
- 99T. Chalobah
- 1J. Butez
AS Roma
3-4-2-1- 21P. Dybala
- 4B. Cristante
- 43Wesley
- 17M. Koné
- 20N. Molina
- 77E. Lulli
- 61N. Pisilli
- 23G. Mancini
- 22Hermoso
- 26L. Balerdi
- 99M. Svilar
Known absences
- M. BahOut · Knee injury
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Como have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; AS Roma have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Parma(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | RB Leipzig(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Torino(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 4-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Como wins, 0 draws, 2 AS Roma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Como 2-1 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Dec 15, 2025 | AS Roma 1-0 Como | Serie A |
| Mar 2, 2025 | AS Roma 2-1 Como | Serie A |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Como 2-0 AS Roma | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Como score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AS Roma score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 1.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| AS Roma | 2.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Como sit 8th in Serie A (10 points from 5 matches) and AS Roma sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Como vs AS Roma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Como vs AS Roma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Como the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for AS Roma.
- Where and when is Como vs AS Roma played?
- Como vs AS Roma is played on October 11, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.