Athletic Club II vs Racing Ferrol: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2, Lezama
The Footlab model makes Athletic Club II the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athletic Club II vs Racing Ferrol?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Athletic Club II (1,897) and Racing Ferrol (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Club II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Racing Ferrol have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Osasuna II(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Athletic Club II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Racing Ferrol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Athletic Club II 0-1 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Racing Ferrol 0-1 Athletic Club II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 15, 2022 | Racing Ferrol 1-1 Athletic Club II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Athletic Club II 2-2 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Club II vs Racing Ferrol on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Club II score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Ferrol score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club II | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Racing Ferrol | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Club II sit 13th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (49 points from 38 matches) and Racing Ferrol sit 12th (49 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Racing Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 47 | 49 |
| 13 | Athletic Club II | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athletic Club II vs Racing Ferrol?
- The Footlab model makes Athletic Club II the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Racing Ferrol.
- Where and when is Athletic Club II vs Racing Ferrol played?
- Athletic Club II vs Racing Ferrol is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.