Where and when is Lugo vs Mirandes played?

Lugo vs Mirandes is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anxo Carro, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lugo vs Mirandes: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo

Lugo

Mirandes

The Footlab model makes Lugo the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Mirandes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lugo vs Mirandes?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Lugo (1,884) and Mirandes (1,877).

Lugo win44 %

Draw29 %

Mirandes win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mirandes have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lugo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Coruxo(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Arenteiro(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(away)	1-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Mirandes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	UD Logroñés(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026	La Calzada(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Real Madrid II(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2026	Atlético Madrid II(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Osasuna II(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lugo win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Mirandes win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 6, 2023	Lugo 2-0 Mirandes	Copa del Rey
Jan 15, 2023	Mirandes 2-0 Lugo	Segunda División
Oct 30, 2022	Lugo 0-0 Mirandes	Segunda División
Jan 9, 2022	Lugo 2-1 Mirandes	Segunda División
Dec 16, 2021	Lugo 1-2 Mirandes	Copa del Rey
Nov 3, 2021	Mirandes 3-2 Lugo	Segunda División

Last archived meeting: Lugo vs Mirandes on Dec 6, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Lugo score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lugo	0.9	1.3	5	6/15	6/15
Mirandes	1.3	1.5	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Lugo	38	13	14	11	36	40	53

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lugo vs Mirandes?: The Footlab model makes Lugo the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Mirandes.
Where and when is Lugo vs Mirandes played?: Lugo vs Mirandes is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anxo Carro, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.