Match

Lugo vs Mirandes: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo

LugoMirandes

The Footlab AI model makes Lugo the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Mirandes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lugo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lugo vs Mirandes?

On Elo ratings, Lugo has 1,970 points and Mirandes 1,909.

51%27%22%
Lugo winDrawMirandes win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lugo vs Mirandes

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lugo

4-3-3
  1. 17Chiqui
  2. 11M. Dauda
  3. 16A. Palma
  1. 20A. Ulloa
  2. 15P. Parrilla
  3. 6Kevin Presa
  1. 5Pol Moreno
  2. 19R. Lucero
  3. 4Ibaider Garriz
  4. 3Pere Haro
  1. 1Marc Martínez

Mirandes

4-3-3
  1. 11Aitor Uzkudun
  2. 9I. Unzueta
  3. 18Rodri
  1. 16Markel Lozano
  2. 19Ricardo de Moraes
  3. 7D. de la Iglesia
  1. 22Martín Aguirregabiria
  2. 21Aritz Arambarri
  3. 8R. Martinez
  4. 4C. Navarro
  1. 1Jesús Ruiz

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:09 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Mirandes have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lugo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 2, 2026Real Avilés(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Racing Ferrol(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Zamora(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026CD Coria(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mirandes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Zamora(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Ponferradina(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Real Unión(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026Mérida AD(away)4-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lugo wins, 1 draw, 3 Mirandes wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 6, 2023Lugo 2-0 MirandesCopa del Rey
Jan 15, 2023Mirandes 2-0 LugoSegunda División
Oct 30, 2022Lugo 0-0 MirandesSegunda División
Jan 9, 2022Lugo 2-1 MirandesSegunda División
Dec 16, 2021Lugo 1-2 MirandesCopa del Rey
Nov 3, 2021Mirandes 3-2 LugoSegunda División

Last archived meeting: Lugo vs Mirandes on Dec 6, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Lugo score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lugo1.30.876/157/15
Mirandes1.31.156/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lugo sit 1st in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (19 points from 7 matches) and Mirandes sit 6th (11 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Lugo761012419
6Mirandes732210811

A question about Lugo vs Mirandes?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lugo vs Mirandes?
The Footlab AI model makes Lugo the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Mirandes.
Where and when is Lugo vs Mirandes played?
Lugo vs Mirandes is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anxo Carro, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lugo and Mirandes

Ready to know everything about football?