Where and when is Zamora vs Real Avilés played?

Zamora vs Real Avilés is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Zamora vs Real Avilés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora

Zamora

Real Avilés

The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zamora vs Real Avilés?

Zamora starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,973 vs 1,868).

Zamora win56 %

Draw23 %

Real Avilés win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zamora have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Real Avilés have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zamora
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Real Madrid II(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 19, 2026	Sabadell(away)	0-4	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 13, 2026	Sabadell(home)	1-0	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 7, 2026	Villarreal II(home)	2-0	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
May 31, 2026	Villarreal II(away)	0-2	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs

Real Avilés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(home)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Mosconia(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2026	Racing Ferrol(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Racing Santander II(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Cultural Leonesa(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Zamora win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Real Avilés win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	Real Avilés 0-2 Zamora	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 12, 2025	Zamora 2-3 Real Avilés	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mar 24, 2024	Real Avilés 0-1 Zamora	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 12, 2023	Zamora 1-0 Real Avilés	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
May 7, 2023	Real Avilés 2-1 Zamora	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 8, 2023	Zamora 1-1 Real Avilés	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Real Avilés vs Zamora on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zamora score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Zamora	1.4	1.1	6	6/15	8/15
Real Avilés	1.5	1.5	2	12/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zamora sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (61 points from 38 matches) and Real Avilés sit 14th (44 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Zamora	38	17	10	11	53	42	61
14	Real Avilés	38	11	11	16	55	67	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zamora vs Real Avilés?: The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Real Avilés.
Where and when is Zamora vs Real Avilés played?: Zamora vs Real Avilés is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.