Match

Zamora vs Real Avilés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora

ZamoraReal Avilés

The Footlab AI model makes Zamora the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zamora wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zamora vs Real Avilés?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Zamora (1,981) and Real Avilés (1,889).

44%27%29%
Zamora winDrawReal Avilés win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Zamora vs Real Avilés

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Zamora

4-3-3
  1. 7Javier Carbonell
  2. 20I. Incera
  3. 19Pau Mascaró
  1. 10Carlos Ramos
  2. 21A. Hidalgo
  3. 11J. Sancho
  1. 5Aleix Gorjón
  2. 18Iago Indias
  3. 3Luismi Luengo
  4. 23Eudald Vergés
  1. 1Iker Piedra

Real Avilés

4-3-3
  1. 8B. Abelenda
  2. 14Berto Cayarga
  3. 19N. Poquet
  1. 7Cris Montes
  2. 9Álvaro Santamaría
  3. 5Samuel
  1. 20O. Carracedo
  2. 4Markel Artetxe
  3. 21Jon Sillero
  4. 15Eric Pérez
  1. 1Álvaro Ratón

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:37 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zamora have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Real Avilés have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Mirandes(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026CD Coria(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Extremadura 1924(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Lugo(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Arenas Getxo(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real Avilés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Ponferradina(away)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 2, 2026Lugo(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Barakaldo(away)3-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026CD Coria(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)3-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Zamora wins, 1 draw, 2 Real Avilés wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Real Avilés 0-2 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 12, 2025Zamora 2-3 Real AvilésPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Mar 24, 2024Real Avilés 0-1 ZamoraSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 12, 2023Zamora 1-0 Real AvilésSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
May 7, 2023Real Avilés 2-1 ZamoraSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 8, 2023Zamora 1-1 Real AvilésSegunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Real Avilés vs Zamora on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zamora score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zamora1.11.157/156/15
Real Avilés1.51.3211/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zamora sit 7th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 7 matches) and Real Avilés sit 13th (8 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Zamora73229711
13Real Avilés722311108

A question about Zamora vs Real Avilés?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zamora vs Real Avilés?
The Footlab AI model makes Zamora the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Real Avilés.
Where and when is Zamora vs Real Avilés played?
Zamora vs Real Avilés is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Zamora and Real Avilés

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