Athletic Club vs Londrina: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Joaquim Portugal, São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais
The Footlab model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Londrina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Londrina?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Athletic Club (1,812) and Londrina (1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Club have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Londrina have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Novorizontino(home) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | CRB(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Goias(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Novorizontino(home) | 1-4 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Athletic Club win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Londrina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Londrina 2-0 Athletic Club | Serie B |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Athletic Club 2-1 Londrina | Serie C |
| Sep 2, 2024 | Londrina 2-3 Athletic Club | Serie C |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Athletic Club 2-1 Londrina | Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Londrina vs Athletic Club on Jun 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Club score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Londrina score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Londrina | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Club sit 9th in Serie B (34 points from 24 matches) and Londrina sit 18th (21 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 34 |
| 18 | Londrina | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athletic Club vs Londrina?
- The Footlab model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Londrina.
- Where and when is Athletic Club vs Londrina played?
- Athletic Club vs Londrina is played on October 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Joaquim Portugal, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.