Fortaleza EC vs CRB: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for CRB. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Fortaleza EC (1,942) and CRB (1,881).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza EC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; CRB have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Criciuma(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | São Bernardo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Juventude(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 3-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Novorizontino(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fortaleza EC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 CRB win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | CRB 1-1 Fortaleza EC | Serie B |
| May 14, 2026 | CRB 0-0 Fortaleza EC | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Fortaleza EC 2-1 CRB | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Fortaleza EC 0-1 CRB | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jun 9, 2024 | CRB 2-0 Fortaleza EC | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jun 6, 2024 | Fortaleza EC 2-0 CRB | Copa do Nordeste |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortaleza EC score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; CRB score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| CRB | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortaleza EC sit 4th in Serie B (40 points from 24 matches) and CRB sit 6th (36 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 40 |
| 6 | CRB | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
- The Footlab model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for CRB.
- Where and when is Fortaleza EC vs CRB played?
- Fortaleza EC vs CRB is played on October 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.