Fortaleza EC vs CRB: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for CRB. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fortaleza EC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Fortaleza EC (1,840) and CRB (1,769).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortaleza EC vs CRB
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortaleza EC
4-3-3- 11Vitinho
- 32Luiz Fernando
- 17Nathan Fogaça
- 5Pierre
- 88Lucas Sasha
- 75Rodriguinho
- 6T. Cardona
- 22Maílton
- 3Lucas Gazal
- 12Kaio Henrique
- 1João Ricardo
CRB
4-1-4-1- 28Mikael
- 10Daniel
- 21Pedro Castro
- 8Crystopher
- 97Dadá Belmonte
- 17Thiaguinho
- 33Lyncon
- 22Bressan
- 6Reverson
- 32Hereda
- 1Vitor Caetano
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 07:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza EC have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeat; CRB have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nautico Recife(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ceara(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | São Bernardo(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cuiaba(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sport Recife(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fortaleza EC wins, 2 draws, 2 CRB wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | CRB 1-1 Fortaleza EC | Serie B |
| May 14, 2026 | CRB 0-0 Fortaleza EC | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Fortaleza EC 2-1 CRB | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Fortaleza EC 0-1 CRB | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jun 9, 2024 | CRB 2-0 Fortaleza EC | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jun 6, 2024 | Fortaleza EC 2-0 CRB | Copa do Nordeste |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortaleza EC score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; CRB score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| CRB | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortaleza EC sit 3rd in Serie B (56 points from 32 matches) and CRB sit 7th (51 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fortaleza EC | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 56 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 51 |
A question about Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for CRB.
- Where and when is Fortaleza EC vs CRB played?
- Fortaleza EC vs CRB is played on October 12, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.