Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Antônio Accioly, Goiânia, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Atletico Goianiense the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Sport Recife. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Atletico Goianiense (1,860) and Sport Recife (1,882).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Goianiense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Sport Recife have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Botafogo SP(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vila Nova(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Cuiaba(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico Goianiense win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Sport Recife win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2026 | Sport Recife 1-1 Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Sport Recife 0-0 Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Atletico Goianiense 3-1 Sport Recife | Serie B |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Sport Recife 2-0 Atletico Goianiense | Serie A |
| Jul 7, 2021 | Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Sport Recife | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2020 | Sport Recife 0-1 Atletico Goianiense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense on Jun 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Goianiense score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sport Recife score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Goianiense | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Sport Recife | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Goianiense sit 11th in Serie B (33 points from 23 matches) and Sport Recife sit 6th (38 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sport Recife | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
| 11 | Atletico Goianiense | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Goianiense the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Sport Recife.
- Where and when is Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife played?
- Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife is played on October 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Antônio Accioly, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.