Athletic Club vs Osasuna: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)San Mamés Barria, Bilbao
The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Osasuna. The most likely score is 1-1. If Athletic Club wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,462 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Osasuna?
On Elo ratings, Athletic Club has 2,094 points and Osasuna 2,059.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Athletic Club vs Osasuna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1- 9I. Williams
- 16Ruíz de Galarreta
- 23Robert Navarro
- 7Álex Berenguer
- 18Mikel Jauregizar
- 24Beñat Gerenabarrena
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 31J. Louis-Jean
- 15Hugo Rincón
- 17Yuri
- 1Unai Simón
Osasuna
4-3-3- 14Rubén García
- 17A. Budimir
- 21Jonathan Dubasin
- 7Moncayola
- 16Moi Gómez
- 8Iker Muñoz
- 24Catena
- 23Abel Bretones
- 27Íñigo Arguibide
- 22F. Boyomo
- 13Aitor Fernández
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 01:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Club have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Osasuna have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 0-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 0-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Athletic Club wins, 2 draws, 1 Osasuna win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Athletic Club 1-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Athletic Club 0-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Jan 16, 2025 | Athletic Club 2-3 Osasuna | Copa del Rey |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Osasuna 1-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Athletic Club 2-1 Osasuna | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Club vs Osasuna on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Club score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Osasuna score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Osasuna | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Club sit 15th in La Liga (9 points from 8 matches) and Osasuna sit 11th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 11 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
A question about Athletic Club vs Osasuna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athletic Club vs Osasuna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Osasuna.
- Where and when is Athletic Club vs Osasuna played?
- Athletic Club vs Osasuna is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at San Mamés Barria, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.