Athletic Club vs Valencia: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)San Mamés Barria, Bilbao
The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Valencia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Athletic Club wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Valencia?
On Elo ratings, Athletic Club has 2,109 points and Valencia 2,072.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Athletic Club vs Valencia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1- 21Maroan Sannadi
- 7Álex Berenguer
- 9I. Williams
- 28Peio Canales
- 10Nico Williams
- 24Beñat Gerenabarrena
- 15Hugo Rincón
- 17Yuri
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 3Dani Vivian
- 1Unai Simón
Valencia
4-4-2- 8Javi Guerra
- 7A. Danjuma
- 24Pablo Carmine Maffeo Becerra
- 2G. Rodríguez
- 11Luis Rioja
- 33Aaron Mayol
- 18Pepelu
- 14José Gayà
- 5César Tárrega
- 12J. de Haas
- 1S. Dimitrievski
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Club have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Valencia have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Prat(away) | 6-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Elche(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Athletic Club wins, 1 draw, 2 Valencia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Valencia 0-0 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| May 10, 2026 | Athletic Club 0-1 Valencia | La Liga |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Valencia 1-2 Athletic Club | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Valencia 2-0 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| May 18, 2025 | Valencia 0-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Athletic Club 1-0 Valencia | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Valencia vs Athletic Club on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Club score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Valencia score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Valencia | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Club sit 7th in La Liga (15 points from 10 matches) and Valencia sit 19th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Athletic Club vs Valencia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athletic Club vs Valencia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Athletic Club the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Valencia.
- Where and when is Athletic Club vs Valencia played?
- Athletic Club vs Valencia is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at San Mamés Barria, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.