Osasuna vs Celta Vigo: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea
The Footlab AI model makes Osasuna the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Celta Vigo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Osasuna wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osasuna vs Celta Vigo?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Osasuna (2,031) and Celta Vigo (2,098).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Osasuna vs Celta Vigo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Osasuna
4-4-2- 17A. Budimir
- 9Raúl García
- 7Moncayola
- 14Rubén García
- 6Lucas Torró
- 16Moi Gómez
- 27Íñigo Arguibide
- 24Catena
- 35U. Santos
- 23Abel Bretones
- 13Aitor Fernández
Celta Vigo
3-4-3- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 23Hugo Álvarez
- 11Pablo Durán
- 6I. Moriba
- 17Javi Rueda
- 14Aleix Febas
- 22Javi Galán
- 18Yoel Lago
- 3Marcos Alonso
- 15Álvaro Núñez
- 13I. Radu
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osasuna have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Celta Vigo have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 0-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 0-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Elche(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Osasuna wins, 0 draws, 3 Celta Vigo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | Celta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Celta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Osasuna 2-3 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Celta Vigo 1-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Osasuna 3-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Osasuna 0-3 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Celta Vigo vs Osasuna on Aug 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Osasuna score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osasuna sit 16th in La Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Celta Vigo sit 9th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 8 |
A question about Osasuna vs Celta Vigo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osasuna vs Celta Vigo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Osasuna the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Celta Vigo.
- Where and when is Osasuna vs Celta Vigo played?
- Osasuna vs Celta Vigo is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Sadar, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.