Valencia vs Deportivo La Coruna: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
The Footlab model makes Valencia the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Deportivo La Coruna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valencia vs Deportivo La Coruna?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Valencia (2,098) and Deportivo La Coruna (2,057).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valencia have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo La Coruna have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Celta Vigo(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Valencia win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Deportivo La Coruna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2018 | Valencia 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Jan 13, 2018 | Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Valencia | La Liga |
| Apr 2, 2017 | Valencia 3-0 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Oct 31, 2016 | Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Valencia | La Liga |
| Jan 24, 2016 | Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Valencia | La Liga |
| Aug 30, 2015 | Valencia 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Valencia vs Deportivo La Coruna on May 20, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Valencia score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo La Coruna score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valencia sit 15th in La Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Deportivo La Coruna sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | Valencia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valencia vs Deportivo La Coruna?
- The Footlab model makes Valencia the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Deportivo La Coruna.
- Where and when is Valencia vs Deportivo La Coruna played?
- Valencia vs Deportivo La Coruna is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Mestalla, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.