Espanyol vs Athletic Club: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stage Front Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat
The Footlab AI model makes Espanyol the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Athletic Club. The most likely score is 1-1. If Espanyol wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Espanyol vs Athletic Club?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Espanyol (2,012) and Athletic Club (2,081).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Espanyol vs Athletic Club
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Espanyol
4-2-3-1- 9Roberto Fernández
- 28Javier Hernandez
- 8Edu Expósito
- 15Bryan Zaragoza
- 10Pol Lozano
- 24T. Dolan
- 6L. Cabrera
- 23O. El Hilali
- 5C. Riedel
- 21Roger Hinojo
- 1Ángel Fortuño
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1- 9I. Williams
- 16Ruíz de Galarreta
- 23Robert Navarro
- 24Beñat Gerenabarrena
- 7Álex Berenguer
- 28Peio Canales
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 4Aitor Paredes
- 31J. Louis-Jean
- 15Hugo Rincón
- 1Unai Simón
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Espanyol have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Athletic Club have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Espanyol wins, 1 draw, 3 Athletic Club wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Espanyol 2-0 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Athletic Club 1-2 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Espanyol 1-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Athletic Club 4-1 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Espanyol 1-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Athletic Club 1-0 Espanyol | Copa del Rey |
Last archived meeting: Espanyol vs Athletic Club on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Espanyol score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club score 2.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Athletic Club | 2.0 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Espanyol sit 15th in La Liga (8 points from 9 matches) and Athletic Club sit 11th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Athletic Club | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Espanyol vs Athletic Club?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Espanyol vs Athletic Club?
- The Footlab AI model makes Espanyol the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Athletic Club.
- Where and when is Espanyol vs Athletic Club played?
- Espanyol vs Athletic Club is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stage Front Stadium, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.