Atlas vs Club Queretaro: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
The Footlab model makes Club Queretaro the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Atlas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlas vs Club Queretaro?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Atlas (1,844) and Club Queretaro (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlas have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Club Queretaro have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Dallas(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atlas win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Club Queretaro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Atlas 0-0 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Club Queretaro 3-3 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Club Queretaro 1-2 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Atlas 0-1 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Atlas 2-3 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Club Queretaro 1-2 Atlas | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Atlas vs Club Queretaro on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlas score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Club Queretaro score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Club Queretaro | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlas sit 9th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Club Queretaro sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Atlas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Club Queretaro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Club Queretaro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlas vs Club Queretaro?
- The Footlab model makes Club Queretaro the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Atlas.
- Where and when is Atlas vs Club Queretaro played?
- Atlas vs Club Queretaro is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jalisco, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.