Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
The Footlab model makes Club Tijuana the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Club Tijuana (1,910) and U.N.A.M. - Pumas (1,957).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Tijuana have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Portland Timbers(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | San Diego(away) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Austin(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 5-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Club Tijuana win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 U.N.A.M. - Pumas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Club Tijuana 1-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Nov 2, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4-1 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Club Tijuana 4-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Sep 22, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-0 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| Mar 10, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-3 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Club Tijuana 2-3 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club Tijuana score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; U.N.A.M. - Pumas score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Tijuana | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Tijuana sit 2nd in Liga MX (7 points from 3 matches) and U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Club Tijuana | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
- The Footlab model makes Club Tijuana the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
- Where and when is Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas played?
- Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Caliente, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.