Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Corona, Torreón
The Footlab model makes Tigres UANL the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Santos Laguna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL?
Tigres UANL starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (1,976 vs 1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santos Laguna have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Tigres UANL have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puebla(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(away) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Chicago Fire(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | New York City FC(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atlas(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(home) | 0-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Santos Laguna win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Tigres UANL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Tigres UANL 5-1 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Santos Laguna 0-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Tigres UANL 3-0 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Santos Laguna 0-3 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Santos Laguna 0-3 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Tigres UANL 3-2 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Tigres UANL vs Santos Laguna on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santos Laguna score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres UANL score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Tigres UANL | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santos Laguna sit 17th in Liga MX (0 points from 3 matches) and Tigres UANL sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL?
- The Footlab model makes Tigres UANL the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Santos Laguna.
- Where and when is Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL played?
- Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Corona, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.