SS Reyes vs Atlético Astorga: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, San Sebastián de los Reyes
The Footlab AI model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Atlético Astorga. The most likely score is 1-1. If SS Reyes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Reyes vs Atlético Astorga?
SS Reyes starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (2,005 vs 1,880).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SS Reyes vs Atlético Astorga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SS Reyes
4-3-3- 22Ariel Herrero
- 9Fer Harta
- 7Samu Pérez
- 8Mario González
- 23Álvaro José
- 21Yago Gandoy
- 20Marvin Anieboh
- 20Edu Viaña
- 12Tito
- 2Aarón González
- 1Alberto Lejárraga
Atlético Astorga
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Astorga lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Reyes have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Atlético Astorga have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Numancia(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
SS Reyes score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Astorga score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Reyes | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlético Astorga | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SS Reyes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
A question about SS Reyes vs Atlético Astorga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Reyes vs Atlético Astorga?
- The Footlab AI model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Atlético Astorga.
- Where and when is SS Reyes vs Atlético Astorga played?
- SS Reyes vs Atlético Astorga is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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