Atlético Astorga vs Atlético Tordesillas: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga
The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Atlético Tordesillas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Atlético Tordesillas?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Atlético Astorga (1,888) and Atlético Tordesillas (1,919).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Atlético Tordesillas have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | La Bañeza(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atlético Astorga win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Atlético Tordesillas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Atlético Tordesillas 1-1 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Atlético Astorga 1-1 Atlético Tordesillas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Atlético Astorga 0-0 Atlético Tordesillas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Atlético Tordesillas 3-1 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 6, 2023 | Atlético Astorga 3-1 Atlético Tordesillas | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Atlético Tordesillas 1-0 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Tordesillas vs Atlético Astorga on Feb 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Astorga score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Tordesillas score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Astorga | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlético Tordesillas | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Astorga vs Atlético Tordesillas?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Atlético Tordesillas.
- Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs Atlético Tordesillas played?
- Atlético Astorga vs Atlético Tordesillas is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.