Where and when is CF Talavera vs Calamocha played?

CF Talavera vs Calamocha is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

CF Talavera vs Calamocha: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina

CF Talavera

Calamocha

The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Calamocha. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CF Talavera vs Calamocha?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate CF Talavera (1,897) and Calamocha (1,884).

CF Talavera win44 %

Draw28 %

Calamocha win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Talavera have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Calamocha have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CF Talavera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Getafe II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026	Illescas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Cacereño(away)	2-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026	Osasuna II(away)	1-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Calamocha
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cariñena(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
May 3, 2026	Robres(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 26, 2026	Huesca II(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 19, 2026	Cuarte(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 12, 2026	Illueca(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

How many goals should we expect?

CF Talavera score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Calamocha score 1.2 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
CF Talavera	0.9	0.9	4	9/15	6/15
Calamocha	1.2	0.3	12	3/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	CF Talavera	34	19	9	6	50	27	66

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CF Talavera vs Calamocha?: The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Calamocha.
Where and when is CF Talavera vs Calamocha played?: CF Talavera vs Calamocha is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.