Match

Atlético Astorga vs Salamanca UDS: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga

Atlético AstorgaSalamanca UDS

The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Salamanca UDS. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Salamanca UDS?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Atlético Astorga (1,888) and Salamanca UDS (1,874).

Atlético Astorga win48 %
Draw26 %
Salamanca UDS win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Salamanca UDS have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Astorga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Cultural Leonesa(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026La Bañeza(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026UD Ourense(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Sarriana(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Salamanca UDS
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)0-5Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Lealtad(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Burgos Promesas(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Atlético Astorga win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Salamanca UDS win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Atlético Astorga 1-2 Salamanca UDSSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 14, 2025Salamanca UDS 2-0 Atlético AstorgaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Aug 21, 2024Atlético Astorga 1-1 Salamanca UDSFriendlies Clubs
May 26, 2024Salamanca UDS 0-0 Atlético AstorgaTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
May 18, 2024Atlético Astorga 0-1 Salamanca UDSTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2024Salamanca UDS 2-0 Atlético AstorgaTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Atlético Astorga vs Salamanca UDS on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Astorga score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Salamanca UDS score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Astorga1.31.357/157/15
Salamanca UDS1.01.537/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Astorga vs Salamanca UDS?
The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Salamanca UDS.
Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs Salamanca UDS played?
Atlético Astorga vs Salamanca UDS is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Atlético Astorga and Salamanca UDS

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