Atlético Astorga vs Salamanca UDS: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga
The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Salamanca UDS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Salamanca UDS?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Atlético Astorga (1,888) and Salamanca UDS (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Salamanca UDS have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | La Bañeza(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Lealtad(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Atlético Astorga win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Salamanca UDS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Atlético Astorga 1-2 Salamanca UDS | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Salamanca UDS 2-0 Atlético Astorga | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Atlético Astorga 1-1 Salamanca UDS | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 26, 2024 | Salamanca UDS 0-0 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 18, 2024 | Atlético Astorga 0-1 Salamanca UDS | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Salamanca UDS 2-0 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Astorga vs Salamanca UDS on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Astorga score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Salamanca UDS score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Astorga | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Salamanca UDS | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Astorga vs Salamanca UDS?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Salamanca UDS.
- Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs Salamanca UDS played?
- Atlético Astorga vs Salamanca UDS is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026NumanciavsAlbacete II
- Nov 29, 2026Gimnástica SegovianavsCF Talavera
- Nov 29, 2026SS ReyesvsNavalcarnero
- Nov 29, 2026Real Valladolid IIvsConquense
- Nov 29, 2026RSD AlcalávsReal Ávila
- Nov 29, 2026Atlético TordesillasvsGetafe II
- Nov 29, 2026Calvo SotelovsA Madrid III
- Nov 29, 2026GuadalajaravsCalamocha