Atlético CP vs Caldas: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Da Tapadinha, Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Caldas. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético CP vs Caldas?
Atlético CP starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,921).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético CP vs Caldas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético CP
4-3-3- 11H. Suker
- 19S. Traore
- 38Caio Santana
- 10Caleb
- 17Bernardo Lourenço
- 18Ricardo Dias
- 5V. Durand
- 2J. Martins
- 30Eduardo Monteiro
- 33A. Calegari
- 22N. Hidalgo
Caldas
4-3-3- 17Goncas
- 9G. Chaves
- 77G. Pio
- 6Diogo Izata
- 80M. Palmerio
- 5R. Correia
- 3Nando
- 20G. Lourenco
- 56Caio Amaral
- 25L. Farinha
- 12D. Almeida
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético CP have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Caldas have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lagoa(home) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Oliveirense(home) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Olímpico do Montijo(away) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | SC Covilha(away) | 3-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sintrense(home) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Louletano(home) | 2-4 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Atlético CP wins, 1 draw, 0 Caldas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Atlético CP 2-0 Caldas | Liga 3 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Caldas 0-1 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Caldas 0-1 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Atlético CP 2-0 Caldas | Liga 3 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Caldas 1-1 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Atlético CP 4-0 Caldas | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético CP vs Caldas on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético CP score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Caldas score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético CP | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Caldas | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético CP sit 2nd in Liga 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Caldas sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
A question about Atlético CP vs Caldas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético CP vs Caldas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Caldas.
- Where and when is Atlético CP vs Caldas played?
- Atlético CP vs Caldas is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Da Tapadinha, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.