Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Antônio Accioly, Goiânia, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Atletico Goianiense the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for America Mineiro. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro?
Atletico Goianiense starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Goianiense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; America Mineiro have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Botafogo SP(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Goias(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico Goianiense win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 America Mineiro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | America Mineiro 1-2 Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Atletico Goianiense 1-0 America Mineiro | Serie B |
| May 27, 2025 | America Mineiro 2-1 Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
| Nov 13, 2022 | America Mineiro 1-1 Atletico Goianiense | Serie A |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Atletico Goianiense 0-1 America Mineiro | Serie A |
| Nov 17, 2021 | America Mineiro 0-0 Atletico Goianiense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: America Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense on Jun 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Goianiense score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; America Mineiro score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Goianiense | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| America Mineiro | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Goianiense sit 11th in Serie B (33 points from 23 matches) and America Mineiro sit 19th (11 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Atletico Goianiense | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 33 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 42 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Goianiense the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for America Mineiro.
- Where and when is Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro played?
- Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro is played on October 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Antônio Accioly, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.