Novorizontino vs Goias: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte, São Paulo
The Footlab model makes Novorizontino the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Goias. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Goias?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Novorizontino (1,943) and Goias (1,861).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novorizontino have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Goias have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CRB(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Criciuma(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Novorizontino win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Goias win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Goias 0-4 Novorizontino | Serie B |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Goias 1-0 Novorizontino | Serie B |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Novorizontino 1-0 Goias | Serie B |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Goias 1-0 Novorizontino | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Novorizontino 2-1 Goias | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Goias vs Novorizontino on Jun 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novorizontino score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Goias score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Goias | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novorizontino sit 5th in Serie B (37 points from 23 matches) and Goias sit 10th (33 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Novorizontino | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 20 | 37 |
| 10 | Goias | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novorizontino vs Goias?
- The Footlab model makes Novorizontino the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Goias.
- Where and when is Novorizontino vs Goias played?
- Novorizontino vs Goias is played on October 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.