Londrina vs Criciuma: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Jacy Scaff, Londrina, Paraná
The Footlab model makes Londrina the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Criciuma. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Londrina vs Criciuma?
Criciuma starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Londrina have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Criciuma have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Goias(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Novorizontino(home) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Goias(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nautico Recife(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Londrina win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Criciuma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Criciuma 1-0 Londrina | Serie B |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Criciuma 2-0 Londrina | Serie B |
| May 1, 2023 | Londrina 1-1 Criciuma | Serie B |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Londrina 1-1 Criciuma | Serie B |
| Apr 14, 2022 | Criciuma 1-0 Londrina | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Criciuma 2-1 Londrina | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Londrina score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Criciuma score 1.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Londrina | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Criciuma | 1.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Londrina sit 18th in Serie B (21 points from 24 matches) and Criciuma sit 1st (44 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 44 |
| 18 | Londrina | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Londrina vs Criciuma?
- The Footlab model makes Londrina the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Criciuma.
- Where and when is Londrina vs Criciuma played?
- Londrina vs Criciuma is played on October 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Jacy Scaff, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.