Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeones del '36, Sullana
The Footlab model makes Atletico Grau the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Atletico Grau (1,621) and Club Deportivo Los Chankas (1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Grau have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Club Deportivo Los Chankas have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sport Boys(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FBC Melgar(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico Grau win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Club Deportivo Los Chankas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2-0 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3-2 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Atletico Grau 2-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Primera División |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Atletico Grau 1-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Primera División |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0-1 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Sep 16, 2021 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3-1 Atletico Grau | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Grau score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Club Deportivo Los Chankas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Grau | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Grau sit 16th in Primera División (16 points from 17 matches) and Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit 2nd (34 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 33 | 41 |
| 7 | Atletico Grau | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Atletico Grau | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 26 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Grau the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
- Where and when is Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas played?
- Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Campeones del '36, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026UTC CajamarcavsSporting Cristal
- Sep 26, 2026UniversitariovsFBC Melgar
- Sep 26, 2026Sport BoysvsAlianza Atletico
- Sep 26, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsJuan Pablo II College
- Sep 26, 2026CuscovsAlianza Lima
- Sep 26, 2026ADTvsFC Cajamarca
- Sep 26, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsSport Huancayo
- Sep 26, 2026UCV MoqueguavsCienciano