Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Garcilaso the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Sport Huancayo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?
Deportivo Garcilaso starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,711 vs 1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Garcilaso have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Sport Huancayo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cusco(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cienciano(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ADT(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 27, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 1-4 | Copa De La Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo Garcilaso win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sport Huancayo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sport Huancayo 2-1 Deportivo Garcilaso | Primera División |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Sport Huancayo 0-3 Deportivo Garcilaso | Primera División |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Sport Huancayo 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso | Primera División |
| Feb 5, 2024 | Deportivo Garcilaso 0-2 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Sport Huancayo 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Garcilaso on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Garcilaso score 1.6 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sport Huancayo score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Garcilaso | 1.6 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Sport Huancayo | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Garcilaso sit 7th in Primera División (26 points from 17 matches) and Sport Huancayo sit 17th (16 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 39 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 26 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 40 | 23 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Garcilaso the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Sport Huancayo.
- Where and when is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo played?
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026UTC CajamarcavsSporting Cristal
- Sep 26, 2026UniversitariovsFBC Melgar
- Sep 26, 2026Sport BoysvsAlianza Atletico
- Sep 26, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsJuan Pablo II College
- Sep 26, 2026Atletico GrauvsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Sep 26, 2026CuscovsAlianza Lima
- Sep 26, 2026ADTvsFC Cajamarca
- Sep 26, 2026UCV MoqueguavsCienciano