Where and when is Cusco vs Alianza Lima played?

Cusco vs Alianza Lima is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cusco vs Alianza Lima: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

Cusco

Alianza Lima

The Footlab model makes Alianza Lima the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Cusco. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cusco vs Alianza Lima?

Alianza Lima starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,705).

Cusco win31 %

Draw27 %

Alianza Lima win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cusco have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Alianza Lima have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cusco
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(away)	1-4	Primera División
Aug 14, 2026	Juan Pablo II College(home)	2-0	Primera División
Aug 7, 2026	Comerciantes Unidos(away)	1-3	Primera División
Aug 1, 2026	UTC Cajamarca(home)	4-1	Primera División
Jul 25, 2026	Universitario(away)	1-2	Primera División

Alianza Lima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	FBC Melgar(away)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	UTC Cajamarca(home)	1-0	Primera División
Aug 9, 2026	Sport Boys(away)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 2, 2026	Alianza Atletico(home)	3-1	Primera División
Jul 26, 2026	Comerciantes Unidos(away)	2-2	Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cusco win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Alianza Lima win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Alianza Lima 8-0 Cusco	Primera División
Jul 19, 2025	Cusco 2-0 Alianza Lima	Primera División
Feb 9, 2025	Alianza Lima 3-0 Cusco	Primera División
Nov 3, 2024	Alianza Lima 1-2 Cusco	Primera División
May 24, 2024	Cusco 3-0 Alianza Lima	Primera División
Aug 13, 2023	Cusco 1-1 Alianza Lima	Primera División

Last archived meeting: Alianza Lima vs Cusco on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cusco score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Lima score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cusco	1.5	1.7	3	10/15	10/15
Alianza Lima	1.4	0.9	5	10/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cusco sit 6th in Primera División (27 points from 17 matches) and Alianza Lima sit 1st (40 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	17	12	4	1	30	8	40
1	Alianza Lima	17	12	4	1	30	8	40
1	Alianza Lima	22	15	6	1	39	13	51
2	Alianza Lima	4	2	2	0	8	5	8
3	Alianza Lima	5	3	2	0	9	5	11
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	21	24	27
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	21	24	27
7	Cusco	23	11	3	9	34	35	36
9	Cusco	4	2	0	2	10	7	6
9	Cusco	6	3	0	3	13	11	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cusco vs Alianza Lima?: The Footlab model makes Alianza Lima the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Cusco.
Where and when is Cusco vs Alianza Lima played?: Cusco vs Alianza Lima is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.