Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo
The Footlab model makes Comerciantes Unidos the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Juan Pablo II College. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Comerciantes Unidos (1,599) and Juan Pablo II College (1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comerciantes Unidos have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Juan Pablo II College have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atletico Grau(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cusco(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Alianza Lima(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ADT(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cusco(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Comerciantes Unidos win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Juan Pablo II College win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 Juan Pablo II College | Copa De La Liga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College 2-2 Comerciantes Unidos | Primera División |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Juan Pablo II College 0-1 Comerciantes Unidos | Primera División |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Comerciantes Unidos 3-0 Juan Pablo II College | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Comerciantes Unidos score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Juan Pablo II College score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Juan Pablo II College | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Comerciantes Unidos sit 9th in Primera División (21 points from 17 matches) and Juan Pablo II College sit 18th (16 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II College | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 47 | 24 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?
- The Footlab model makes Comerciantes Unidos the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Juan Pablo II College.
- Where and when is Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College played?
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026UTC CajamarcavsSporting Cristal
- Sep 26, 2026UniversitariovsFBC Melgar
- Sep 26, 2026Sport BoysvsAlianza Atletico
- Sep 26, 2026Atletico GrauvsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Sep 26, 2026CuscovsAlianza Lima
- Sep 26, 2026ADTvsFC Cajamarca
- Sep 26, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsSport Huancayo
- Sep 26, 2026UCV MoqueguavsCienciano