Atletico Madrid vs Viking: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Viking. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Madrid wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Viking?
On Elo ratings, Atletico Madrid has 2,198 points and Viking 2,210.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Madrid vs Viking
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2- 7Lee Kang-In
- 19J. Álvarez
- 20G. Simeone
- 5J. Cardoso
- 8Pablo Barrios
- 10Álex Baena
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 21C. Romero
- 22Álex Grimaldo
- 17D. Hancko
- 13J. Oblak
Viking
4-3-3- 20P. Christiansen
- 10Z. Tripić
- 22E. Botheim
- 7K. Askildsen
- 8J. Bell
- 16H. Bjørdal
- 6G. Stensness
- 5H. Heggheim
- 28K. Haugen
- 25H. Falchener
- 1A. Østbø
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Madrid have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Viking have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Brann(away) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Madla(away) | 3-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 8-1 | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Madrid score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Viking score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Viking | 2.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Madrid sit 13th in UEFA Champions League (3 points from 2 matches) and Viking sit 26th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 26 | Viking | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
A question about Atletico Madrid vs Viking?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Madrid vs Viking?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Viking.
- Where and when is Atletico Madrid vs Viking played?
- Atletico Madrid vs Viking is played on November 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.