Aurrerá Vitoria vs Eibar III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olaranbe, Vitoria-Gasteiz
The Footlab AI model makes Aurrerá Vitoria the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Eibar III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aurrerá Vitoria wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aurrerá Vitoria vs Eibar III?
On Elo ratings, Aurrerá Vitoria has 1,718 points and Eibar III 1,667.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aurrerá Vitoria vs Eibar III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aurrerá Vitoria
4-3-3- ÍÍñigo Hernández
- DDevis
- AAsier Ruiz
- MMartín Asurmendi
- MMikel Gonzalez
- AAritz Castro
- JJoel Martinez
- YYeray Terrazas
- HHodei Gastaminza
- JJon Rementería
- JJulen Barria
Eibar III
Not enough data to predict the Eibar III lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurrerá Vitoria have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Eibar III have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sodupe(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Touring(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Ignacio(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sodupe(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Aurrerá Vitoria wins, 0 draws, 0 Eibar III wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Eibar III 0-1 Aurrerá Vitoria | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Aurrerá Vitoria 1-0 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Eibar III vs Aurrerá Vitoria on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aurrerá Vitoria score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar III score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurrerá Vitoria | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Eibar III | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aurrerá Vitoria sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (13 points from 6 matches) and Eibar III sit 16th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Eibar III | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Aurrerá Vitoria vs Eibar III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aurrerá Vitoria vs Eibar III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aurrerá Vitoria the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Eibar III.
- Where and when is Aurrerá Vitoria vs Eibar III played?
- Aurrerá Vitoria vs Eibar III is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olaranbe, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.