Sodupe vs Pasaia KE: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Lorenzo Hurtado de Saratxo, Sodupe
The Footlab AI model makes Sodupe the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Pasaia KE. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sodupe vs Pasaia KE?
On Elo ratings, Sodupe has 1,689 points and Pasaia KE 1,650.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sodupe vs Pasaia KE
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sodupe
4-3-3- EEkaitz Azkuenaga Astorkiza
- MMarkel Vegas Olano
- AAnder Garmendia Alonso
- EErlantz Rementería
- IIker Mota Arana
- GGorka Olazabal Román
- AAnder Egileor
- RRubén Salado Góngora
- JJoseba Orbegozo
- DDaniel Jiménez
- MMikel Fuente
Pasaia KE
Not enough data to predict the Pasaia KE lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 04:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sodupe have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Pasaia KE have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Touring(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Durango(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Santurtzi(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Ignacio(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Sodupe wins, 1 draw, 2 Pasaia KE wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | Pasaia KE 1-1 Sodupe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 3, 2021 | Sodupe 0-1 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Sodupe 0-2 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sodupe score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pasaia KE score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sodupe | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Pasaia KE | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sodupe sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (11 points from 8 matches) and Pasaia KE sit 12th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sodupe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Pasaia KE | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 10 |
A question about Sodupe vs Pasaia KE?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sodupe vs Pasaia KE?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sodupe the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Pasaia KE.
- Where and when is Sodupe vs Pasaia KE played?
- Sodupe vs Pasaia KE is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Lorenzo Hurtado de Saratxo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.