Where and when is Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashiwa Reysol played?

Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Best Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashiwa Reysol: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

Kashiwa Reysol

The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Avispa Fukuoka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashiwa Reysol starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,926).

Avispa Fukuoka win35 %

Draw27 %

Kashiwa Reysol win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avispa Fukuoka have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Kashiwa Reysol have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Avispa Fukuoka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Verspah Oita(home)	0-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kashima(away)	2-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(home)	3-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Osaka(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

Kashiwa Reysol
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Senshu University(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	4-2	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Avispa Fukuoka win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kashiwa Reysol win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 31, 2025	Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League
Feb 15, 2025	Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Nov 3, 2024	Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Jun 2, 2024	Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League
May 22, 2024	Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka	J-League Cup
Sep 23, 2023	Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka on Aug 31, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Avispa Fukuoka score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Avispa Fukuoka	1.4	1.3	2	10/15	8/15
Kashiwa Reysol	1.6	1.2	3	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Kashiwa Reysol	3	3	0	0	9	4	9
12	Avispa Fukuoka	3	1	0	2	5	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashiwa Reysol?: The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Avispa Fukuoka.
Where and when is Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashiwa Reysol played?: Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Best Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.