Match

Machida Zelvia vs Shimizu S-pulse: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Machida Gion Stadium, Tokyo

Machida ZelviaShimizu S-pulse

The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Machida Zelvia starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (2,166 vs 1,933).

64%22%14%
Machida Zelvia winDrawShimizu S-pulse win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Machida Zelvia vs Shimizu S-pulse

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Koki Ogawa
  1. 6H. Mochizuki
  2. 20T. Nishimura
  3. 16H. Mae
  4. 7Y. Soma
  5. 33T. Akimoto
  6. 31N. Lavi
  1. 3G. Shōji
  2. 2T. Ouwejan
  3. 24Kim Min-Tae
  1. 1K. Tani

Shimizu S-pulse

4-3-3
  1. 7Capixaba
  2. 13R. Germain
  3. 9Oh Se-Hun
  1. 17M. Yumiba
  2. 21K. Matsuzaki
  3. 37K. Koizumi
  1. 25Mateus Brunetti
  2. 24H. Sugai
  3. 4S. Hasukawa
  4. 3Y. Takahashi
  1. 16T. Umeda

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:31 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Machida Zelvia have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Shimizu S-pulse have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(home)2-1AFC Champions League Two
Nov 1, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)0-0J1 League
Oct 29, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(away)1-0AFC Champions League Two
Oct 24, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)5-0J1 League
Shimizu S-pulse
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)0-2J1 League
Oct 24, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)0-4J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)0-5J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)1-2J-League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Machida Zelvia wins, 1 draw, 2 Shimizu S-pulse wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Shimizu S-pulse 0-5 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Jul 5, 2025Machida Zelvia 3-0 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
May 11, 2025Shimizu S-pulse 2-2 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Aug 19, 2023Shimizu S-pulse 3-2 Machida ZelviaJ2 League
May 21, 2023Machida Zelvia 2-1 Shimizu S-pulseJ2 League
Oct 8, 2016Shimizu S-pulse 2-0 Machida ZelviaJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia on Oct 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Machida Zelvia score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Shimizu S-pulse score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Machida Zelvia1.70.696/157/15
Shimizu S-pulse1.11.728/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Machida Zelvia sit 3rd in J1 League (28 points from 13 matches) and Shimizu S-pulse sit 13th (14 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Machida Zelvia13841301028
13Shimizu S-pulse13427102214

A question about Machida Zelvia vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Machida Zelvia vs Shimizu S-pulse?
The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where and when is Machida Zelvia vs Shimizu S-pulse played?
Machida Zelvia vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Machida Gion Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Machida Zelvia and Shimizu S-pulse

Ready to know everything about football?