Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga?
Kashiwa Reysol starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Senshu University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 4-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Maruyasu Okazaki(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Kyoto Sanga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga 2-6 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Kashiwa Reysol 3-3 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Kyoto Sanga 2-2 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Kyoto Sanga | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga?
- The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Kyoto Sanga.
- Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga played?
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga is played on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Mar 10, 2027UrawavsFC Tokyo
- Mar 10, 2027Nagoya GrampusvsV-varen Nagasaki
- Mar 10, 2027Vissel KobevsGamba Osaka
- Mar 10, 2027JEF United ChibavsTokyo Verdy
- Mar 10, 2027Machida ZelviavsKashima
- Mar 10, 2027Mito HollyhockvsCerezo Osaka