Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus played?

Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita

Gamba Osaka

Nagoya Grampus

The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Gamba Osaka (2,024) and Nagoya Grampus (1,953).

Gamba Osaka win53 %

Draw23 %

Nagoya Grampus win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Gainare Tottori(home)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gamba Osaka win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nagoya Grampus win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
May 6, 2026	Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Feb 15, 2026	Gamba Osaka 0-0 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Oct 25, 2025	Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Apr 12, 2025	Gamba Osaka 2-0 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Oct 23, 2024	Gamba Osaka 3-2 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka	1.8	1.2	5	8/15	8/15
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.8	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 10th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?: The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Nagoya Grampus.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus played?: Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.