Match

Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

Gamba OsakaNagoya Grampus

The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gamba Osaka wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,795 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Gamba Osaka (2,037) and Nagoya Grampus (1,970).

49%25%26%
Gamba Osaka winDrawNagoya Grampus win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gamba Osaka

4-2-3-1
  1. 11I. Jebali
  1. 17R. Yamashita
  2. 27R. Mito
  3. 13S. Abe
  4. 97Welton Felipe
  5. 7T. Usami
  1. 2S. Fukuoka
  2. 4S. Nakatani
  3. 15T. Kishimoto
  4. 21R. Hatsuse
  1. 22J. Ichimori

Nagoya Grampus

3-4-2-1
  1. 11Y. Yamagishi
  1. 15S. Inagaki
  2. 22Y. Kimura
  3. 17T. Uchida
  4. 7R. Izumi
  5. 27K. Nakayama
  6. 31T. Takamine
  1. 70T. Hara
  2. 3Y. Sato
  3. 13H. Fujii
  1. 1D. Schmidt

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 05:32 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Pohang Steelers(away)3-3AFC Champions League Elite
Nov 1, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Buriram United(home)1-1AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 24, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)2-1J1 League
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)0-2J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)1-3J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Urawa(home)1-2J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(home)1-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)1-1J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gamba Osaka wins, 1 draw, 2 Nagoya Grampus wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
May 6, 2026Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Feb 15, 2026Gamba Osaka 0-0 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Oct 25, 2025Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Apr 12, 2025Gamba Osaka 2-0 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Oct 23, 2024Gamba Osaka 3-2 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka1.91.729/159/15
Nagoya Grampus1.31.9011/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 17th in J1 League (12 points from 13 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 12th (14 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Nagoya Grampus14428152314
17Gamba Osaka13265142112

A question about Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?
The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Nagoya Grampus.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus played?
Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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