Match

Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka

Kyoto SangaFC Tokyo

The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Kyoto Sanga (1,907) and FC Tokyo (2,003).

Kyoto Sanga win25 %
Draw25 %
FC Tokyo win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; FC Tokyo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyoto Sanga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Maruyasu Okazaki(home)1-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)2-2J1 League
Aug 9, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)1-2J1 League
Jul 17, 2026Shonan Bellmare(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs
FC Tokyo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)6-0Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)2-0J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)2-2J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)1-5J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Tokyo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2025FC Tokyo 0-4 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
May 31, 2025Kyoto Sanga 3-0 FC TokyoJ1 League
Aug 24, 2024Kyoto Sanga 3-0 FC TokyoJ1 League
May 3, 2024FC Tokyo 2-1 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Aug 12, 2023FC Tokyo 2-0 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Jun 18, 2023Kyoto Sanga 1-3 FC TokyoJ-League Cup

Last archived meeting: FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga on Aug 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Tokyo score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kyoto Sanga0.92.138/159/15
FC Tokyo1.91.548/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and FC Tokyo sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11FC Tokyo3111574
18Kyoto Sanga3012471

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo?
The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo played?
Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kyoto Sanga and FC Tokyo

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