Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Kyoto Sanga (1,907) and FC Tokyo (2,003).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; FC Tokyo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Maruyasu Okazaki(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 6-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 2-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 1-5 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Tokyo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2025 | FC Tokyo 0-4 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| May 31, 2025 | Kyoto Sanga 3-0 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Kyoto Sanga 3-0 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
| May 3, 2024 | FC Tokyo 2-1 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | FC Tokyo 2-0 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Kyoto Sanga 1-3 FC Tokyo | J-League Cup |
Last archived meeting: FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga on Aug 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Tokyo score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Tokyo | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and FC Tokyo sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo?
- The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Kyoto Sanga.
- Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo played?
- Kyoto Sanga vs FC Tokyo is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027V-varen NagasakivsMito Hollyhock
- Mar 6, 2027Vissel KobevsFagiano Okayama
- Mar 6, 2027KashimavsJEF United Chiba
- Mar 6, 2027Cerezo OsakavsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Mar 6, 2027Gamba OsakavsNagoya Grampus
- Mar 6, 2027Kawasaki FrontalevsUrawa
- Mar 6, 2027Machida ZelviavsShimizu S-pulse
- Mar 6, 2027Tokyo VerdyvsYokohama F. Marinos