Match

Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka

Cerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima

The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Cerezo Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (2,154 vs 2,048).

30%26%44%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cerezo Osaka

3-4-2-1
  1. 19P. Sabbag
  1. 77Lucas Fernandes
  2. 10S. Tanaka
  3. 41Y. Komi
  4. 36J. Irvine
  5. 66A. Ohata
  6. 16H. Okuda
  1. 27Dion-Johan Cools
  2. 4R. Inoue
  3. 97T. Takahashi
  1. 23Kosuke Nakamura

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3-4-2-1
  1. 23S. Ayukawa
  1. 10A. Suzuki
  2. 5N. Arai
  3. 18D. Suga
  4. 35Y. Nakajima
  5. 6H. Kawabe
  6. 11M. Kato
  1. 4H. Araki
  2. 15S. Nakano
  3. 37Kim Ju-Sung
  1. 1K. Osako

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 02:04 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerezo Osaka have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cerezo Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Nagoya Grampus(away)1-1J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)2-4J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)3-2J-League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(home)0-0J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)4-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)0-4J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)3-0J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)1-0J-League Cup
Oct 11, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)2-0J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cerezo Osaka wins, 1 draw, 5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6-1 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Apr 25, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Feb 22, 2026Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
Aug 31, 2025Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
Apr 6, 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Aug 11, 2024Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cerezo Osaka score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cerezo Osaka1.31.558/157/15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2.50.795/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cerezo Osaka sit 12th in J1 League (14 points from 12 matches) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 3rd (26 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sanfrecce Hiroshima12822291026
12Cerezo Osaka12354121914

A question about Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Cerezo Osaka.
Where and when is Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima played?
Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cerezo Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima

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