ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage
The Footlab model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
Heerenveen starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,984 vs 1,868).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO Den Haag have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Heerenveen have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 4-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 ADO Den Haag win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Heerenveen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | Heerenveen 3-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Nov 28, 2020 | ADO Den Haag 1-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Heerenveen 2-2 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Nov 3, 2019 | ADO Den Haag 1-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 9, 2019 | ADO Den Haag 2-3 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Heerenveen 1-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Heerenveen vs ADO Den Haag on Mar 6, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Heerenveen score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Heerenveen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO Den Haag sit 17th in Eredivisie (0 points from 3 matches) and Heerenveen sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
- The Footlab model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen played?
- ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Bingoal Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.