ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage
The Footlab AI model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heerenveen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
Heerenveen starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,985 vs 1,843).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ADO Den Haag
4-4-2- 46Y. Eduardo
- 11E. Rottier
- 25J. Kilo
- 27N. Thomas
- 17J. Hawkins
- 7D. van Mieghem
- 3P. Mulder
- 15M. Hokke
- 4M. Waem
- 5J. Jensen-Abbew
- 1K. Nikiéma
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1- 9D. Vente
- 20J. Trenskow
- 7M. Rivera
- 36N. Courtens
- 10R. Meerveld
- 14L. Smans
- 4S. Kersten
- 19V. Zagaritis
- 3M. Willemsen
- 45O. Braude
- 22B. Klaverboer
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO Den Haag have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Heerenveen have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Twente(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 22, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 ADO Den Haag wins, 4 draws, 2 Heerenveen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | Heerenveen 3-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Nov 28, 2020 | ADO Den Haag 1-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Heerenveen 2-2 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Nov 3, 2019 | ADO Den Haag 1-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 9, 2019 | ADO Den Haag 2-3 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Heerenveen 1-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Heerenveen vs ADO Den Haag on Mar 6, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
ADO Den Haag score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Heerenveen score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Heerenveen | 2.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO Den Haag sit 17th in Eredivisie (2 points from 7 matches) and Heerenveen sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 2 |
A question about ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen played?
- ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Bingoal Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.