Willem II vs Cambuur: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
The Footlab model makes Willem II the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Cambuur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Willem II (1,820) and Cambuur (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Willem II have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Cambuur have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFI(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Willem II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Cambuur win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Willem II 0-1 Cambuur | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Cambuur 2-2 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Willem II 1-1 Cambuur | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Cambuur 1-0 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| May 11, 2022 | Cambuur 1-1 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Willem II 1-3 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Willem II score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cambuur score 1.5 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Cambuur | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Willem II sit 16th in Eredivisie (0 points from 2 matches) and Cambuur sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Willem II vs Cambuur?
- The Footlab model makes Willem II the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Cambuur.
- Where and when is Willem II vs Cambuur played?
- Willem II vs Cambuur is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Koning Willem II Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.