Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Utrecht the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
Utrecht starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,967 vs 1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Utrecht
3-4-3- 20D. de Wit
- 10Y. Cathline
- 11Ángel Alarcón
- 92A. Zagré
- 23N. Vesterlund
- 34D. van den Berg
- 8J. van Overeem
- 2S. Horemans
- 3M. Didden
- 5N. Panagiotou
- 1V. Barkas
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1- 10K. Kostons
- 8T. Sommer
- 11D. Mbayo
- 22I. Cissoko
- 25T. Oosting
- 30R. Thomas
- 24N. Viergever
- 28S. Graves
- 3O. Aertssen
- 2S. Floranus
- 1J. Schendelaar
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utrecht have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; PEC Zwolle have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-6 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-7 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Utrecht wins, 2 draws, 1 PEC Zwolle win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Utrecht 1-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Aug 31, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 0-2 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 3-3 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Utrecht 1-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Utrecht 5-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Aug 27, 2023 | PEC Zwolle 1-0 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Utrecht score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; PEC Zwolle score 1.0 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| PEC Zwolle | 1.0 | 2.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utrecht sit 13th in Eredivisie (8 points from 8 matches) and PEC Zwolle sit 16th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 8 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 4 |
A question about Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Utrecht the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle played?
- Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Galgenwaard, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.