AZ Picerno vs Salernitana: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno
The Footlab model makes AZ Picerno the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Salernitana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AZ Picerno vs Salernitana?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate AZ Picerno (1,799) and Salernitana (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AZ Picerno have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Salernitana have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Barletta(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sorrento(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Salernitana(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sorrento(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 AZ Picerno win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Salernitana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Salernitana 2-1 AZ Picerno | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 13, 2025 | AZ Picerno 1-2 Salernitana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Salernitana 1-0 AZ Picerno | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Salernitana vs AZ Picerno on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AZ Picerno score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Salernitana score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Picerno | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Salernitana | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AZ Picerno sit 4th in Serie C - Girone C (3 points from 1 matches) and Salernitana sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AZ Picerno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AZ Picerno vs Salernitana?
- The Footlab model makes AZ Picerno the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Salernitana.
- Where and when is AZ Picerno vs Salernitana played?
- AZ Picerno vs Salernitana is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.