Where and when is Azerbaijan U21 vs Gibraltar U21 played?

Azerbaijan U21 vs Gibraltar U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Dalğa Arena, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Azerbaijan U21 vs Gibraltar U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 23Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Dalğa Arena, Baku

Azerbaijan U21

Gibraltar U21

The Footlab model makes Azerbaijan U21 the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Gibraltar U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Azerbaijan U21 vs Gibraltar U21?

Azerbaijan U21 starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,340 vs 1,222).

Azerbaijan U21 win60 %

Draw21 %

Gibraltar U21 win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Azerbaijan U21 have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Gibraltar U21 have 1, 0 and 14.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Azerbaijan U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 9, 2026	Kyrgyz Republic U20(home)	1-3	Friendlies
Jun 6, 2026	Bahrain U20(home)	3-0	Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026	Bulgaria U21(away)	0-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026	Portugal U21(home)	0-4	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Gibraltar U21(away)	1-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Gibraltar U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 31, 2026	Czechia U21(away)	0-5	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026	Bulgaria U21(home)	0-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Azerbaijan U21(home)	0-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 15, 2025	Scotland U21(home)	0-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025	Portugal U21(home)	0-11	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Azerbaijan U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gibraltar U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 18, 2025	Gibraltar U21 0-1 Azerbaijan U21	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Gibraltar U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 on Nov 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Azerbaijan U21 score 0.7 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gibraltar U21 score 0.2 and concede 3.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Azerbaijan U21	0.7	3.0	3	4/15	10/15
Gibraltar U21	0.2	3.9	0	2/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Azerbaijan U21 sit 5th in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 7 matches) and Gibraltar U21 sit 6th (0 points from 8 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Azerbaijan U21	7	1	3	3	5	18	6
6	Gibraltar U21	8	0	0	8	1	37	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Azerbaijan U21 vs Gibraltar U21?: The Footlab model makes Azerbaijan U21 the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Gibraltar U21.
Where and when is Azerbaijan U21 vs Gibraltar U21 played?: Azerbaijan U21 vs Gibraltar U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Dalğa Arena, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.