Where and when is Portugal U21 vs Czechia U21 played?

Portugal U21 vs Czechia U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nacional, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Portugal U21 vs Czechia U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 23Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional, Jamor, Oeiras

Portugal U21

Czechia U21

The Footlab model makes Portugal U21 the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Czechia U21. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Portugal U21 vs Czechia U21?

Portugal U21 starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,605).

Portugal U21 win64 %

Draw21 %

Czechia U21 win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugal U21 have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Czechia U21 have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Portugal U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 3, 2026	Northern Ireland U21(home)	4-0	Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026	Scotland U21(home)	3-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026	Azerbaijan U21(away)	4-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Czechia U21(away)	0-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025	Gibraltar U21(away)	11-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Czechia U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 31, 2026	Gibraltar U21(home)	5-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026	Scotland U21(away)	0-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Portugal U21(home)	0-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025	Serbia U21(home)	1-2	Friendlies
Oct 14, 2025	Bulgaria U21(away)	1-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Portugal U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Czechia U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 18, 2025	Czechia U21 0-0 Portugal U21	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Czechia U21 vs Portugal U21 on Nov 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Portugal U21 score 3.2 and concede 0.2 goals per match over their last 15; Czechia U21 score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Portugal U21	3.2	0.2	12	2/15	10/15
Czechia U21	1.9	0.9	8	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Portugal U21 sit 1st in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (19 points from 7 matches) and Czechia U21 sit 2nd (14 points from 7 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Portugal U21	7	6	1	0	28	0	19
2	Czechia U21	7	4	2	1	15	3	14

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Portugal U21 vs Czechia U21?: The Footlab model makes Portugal U21 the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Czechia U21.
Where and when is Portugal U21 vs Czechia U21 played?: Portugal U21 vs Czechia U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nacional, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.