Where and when is Norway U21 vs Israel U21 played?

Norway U21 vs Israel U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ullevaal Stadion, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Norway U21 vs Israel U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 23Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo

Norway U21

Israel U21

The Footlab model makes Norway U21 the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Israel U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Norway U21 vs Israel U21?

Norway U21 starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,592 vs 1,455).

Norway U21 win53 %

Draw23 %

Israel U21 win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norway U21 have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Israel U21 have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Norway U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 8, 2026	Finland U21(home)	0-2	Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026	Slovenia U21(away)	0-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026	Netherlands U21(home)	3-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Bosnia-Herzegovina U21(away)	1-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025	Israel U21(away)	3-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Israel U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 31, 2026	Bosnia-Herzegovina U21(home)	0-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 26, 2026	Hungary U21(away)	1-0	Friendlies
Nov 18, 2025	Netherlands U21(home)	3-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025	Norway U21(home)	0-3	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 10, 2025	Slovenia U21(home)	1-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Norway U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Israel U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 14, 2025	Israel U21 0-3 Norway U21	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Israel U21 vs Norway U21 on Nov 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Norway U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Israel U21 score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Norway U21	1.9	1.4	6	6/15	9/15
Israel U21	0.7	1.5	4	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Norway U21 sit 1st in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (12 points from 5 matches) and Israel U21 sit 3rd (7 points from 6 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Norway U21	5	4	0	1	12	4	12
3	Israel U21	6	1	4	1	6	7	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Norway U21 vs Israel U21?: The Footlab model makes Norway U21 the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Israel U21.
Where and when is Norway U21 vs Israel U21 played?: Norway U21 vs Israel U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ullevaal Stadion, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.