Match

France U21 vs Switzerland U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 23Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de France, Saint-Denis

France U21Switzerland U21

The Footlab model makes France U21 the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Switzerland U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win France U21 vs Switzerland U21?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate France U21 (1,692) and Switzerland U21 (1,598).

France U21 win56 %
Draw23 %
Switzerland U21 win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, France U21 have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Switzerland U21 have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

France U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Iceland U21(home)2-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 26, 2026Luxembourg U21(away)5-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 17, 2025Faroe Islands U21(home)1-0UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025Switzerland U21(away)1-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 13, 2025Estonia U21(home)6-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Switzerland U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Estonia U21(home)2-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026Faroe Islands U21(home)1-0UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025Luxembourg U21(away)1-2UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025France U21(home)1-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025Faroe Islands U21(away)3-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 France U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Switzerland U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2025Switzerland U21 1-1 France U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Jun 28, 2023Switzerland U21 1-4 France U21UEFA U21 Championship
Nov 16, 2020France U21 3-1 Switzerland U21UEFA U21 Championship
Nov 19, 2019Switzerland U21 3-1 France U21UEFA U21 Championship

Last archived meeting: Switzerland U21 vs France U21 on Nov 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

France U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Switzerland U21 score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
France U212.51.239/1510/15
Switzerland U211.81.0510/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

France U21 sit 1st in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (16 points from 6 matches) and Switzerland U21 sit 2nd (14 points from 7 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1France U21651021416
2Switzerland U21742110514

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for France U21 vs Switzerland U21?
The Footlab model makes France U21 the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Switzerland U21.
Where and when is France U21 vs Switzerland U21 played?
France U21 vs Switzerland U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de France, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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