France U21 vs Switzerland U21: prediction and stats
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 23Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de France, Saint-Denis
The Footlab model makes France U21 the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Switzerland U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win France U21 vs Switzerland U21?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate France U21 (1,692) and Switzerland U21 (1,598).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, France U21 have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Switzerland U21 have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Iceland U21(home) | 2-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Luxembourg U21(away) | 5-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Faroe Islands U21(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Switzerland U21(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Estonia U21(home) | 6-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Estonia U21(home) | 2-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Faroe Islands U21(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Luxembourg U21(away) | 1-2 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2025 | France U21(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Faroe Islands U21(away) | 3-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 France U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Switzerland U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | Switzerland U21 1-1 France U21 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Jun 28, 2023 | Switzerland U21 1-4 France U21 | UEFA U21 Championship |
| Nov 16, 2020 | France U21 3-1 Switzerland U21 | UEFA U21 Championship |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Switzerland U21 3-1 France U21 | UEFA U21 Championship |
Last archived meeting: Switzerland U21 vs France U21 on Nov 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
France U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Switzerland U21 score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France U21 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Switzerland U21 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
France U21 sit 1st in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (16 points from 6 matches) and Switzerland U21 sit 2nd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Switzerland U21 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for France U21 vs Switzerland U21?
- The Footlab model makes France U21 the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Switzerland U21.
- Where and when is France U21 vs Switzerland U21 played?
- France U21 vs Switzerland U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de France, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 6, 2026Andorra U21vsSlovakia U21
- Oct 6, 2026Azerbaijan U21vsGibraltar U21
- Oct 6, 2026Bulgaria U21vsScotland U21
- Oct 6, 2026Faroe Islands U21vsIceland U21
- Oct 6, 2026Moldova U21vsKazakhstan U21
- Oct 6, 2026Netherlands U21vsBosnia-Herzegovina U21
- Oct 6, 2026Norway U21vsIsrael U21
- Oct 6, 2026Portugal U21vsCzechia U21