Where and when is Faroe Islands U21 vs Iceland U21 played?

Faroe Islands U21 vs Iceland U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tórsvøllur, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Faroe Islands U21 vs Iceland U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 23Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tórsvøllur, Tórshavn, Streymoy

Faroe Islands U21

Iceland U21

The Footlab model makes Iceland U21 the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Faroe Islands U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Faroe Islands U21 vs Iceland U21?

Iceland U21 starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,506 vs 1,404).

Faroe Islands U21 win37 %

Draw25 %

Iceland U21 win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Faroe Islands U21 have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Iceland U21 have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Faroe Islands U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 27, 2026	Switzerland U21(away)	0-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 17, 2025	France U21(away)	0-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 13, 2025	Hungary U21(away)	0-3	Friendlies
Oct 14, 2025	Switzerland U21(home)	1-3	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 10, 2025	France U21(home)	0-6	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Iceland U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 30, 2026	France U21(away)	1-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 26, 2026	Estonia U21(home)	6-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 13, 2025	Luxembourg U21(away)	3-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025	Luxembourg U21(home)	2-1	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 10, 2025	Switzerland U21(away)	0-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Faroe Islands U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Iceland U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 4, 2025	Iceland U21 1-2 Faroe Islands U21	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Iceland U21 vs Faroe Islands U21 on Sep 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Faroe Islands U21 score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Iceland U21 score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Faroe Islands U21	0.7	2.1	3	5/15	10/15
Iceland U21	1.5	1.5	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Faroe Islands U21 sit 4th in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 7 matches) and Iceland U21 sit 3rd (11 points from 7 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Iceland U21	7	3	2	2	14	9	11
4	Faroe Islands U21	7	3	0	4	6	13	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Faroe Islands U21 vs Iceland U21?: The Footlab model makes Iceland U21 the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Faroe Islands U21.
Where and when is Faroe Islands U21 vs Iceland U21 played?: Faroe Islands U21 vs Iceland U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tórsvøllur, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.