Where and when is Baglan Dragons vs Newport City played?

Baglan Dragons vs Newport City is played on March 19, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Baglan Dragons vs Newport City: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 26Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot

Baglan Dragons

Newport City

The Footlab model makes Newport City the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Baglan Dragons. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Newport City?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Baglan Dragons (1,474) and Newport City (1,558).

Baglan Dragons win32 %

Draw25 %

Newport City win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Newport City have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Baglan Dragons
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Newport City(away)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Llantwit Major(away)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 9, 2026	Swansea University(home)	0-3	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(away)	0-0	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(home)	1-1	FAW Championship

Newport City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-1	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Pontardawe Town(away)	4-0	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Carmarthen Town(home)	1-2	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	llanelli AFC(away)	4-1	FAW Championship
Jul 8, 2026	Newport County(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Baglan Dragons win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Newport City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Newport City 0-1 Baglan Dragons	FAW Championship
Mar 6, 2026	Newport City 1-2 Baglan Dragons	FAW Championship
Aug 17, 2025	Baglan Dragons 3-3 Newport City	FAW Championship
Jul 20, 2025	Newport City 2-0 Baglan Dragons	League Cup
Mar 25, 2025	Newport City 1-0 Baglan Dragons	FAW Championship
Nov 9, 2024	Baglan Dragons 2-2 Newport City	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Newport City vs Baglan Dragons on Aug 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Baglan Dragons score 0.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Newport City score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Baglan Dragons	0.5	2.1	4	4/15	7/15
Newport City	1.3	2.2	3	6/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Newport City sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Baglan Dragons	4	2	1	1	2	3	7
7	Newport City	4	2	0	2	9	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Baglan Dragons vs Newport City?: The Footlab model makes Newport City the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Baglan Dragons.
Where and when is Baglan Dragons vs Newport City played?: Baglan Dragons vs Newport City is played on March 19, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.