Match

Pontardawe Town vs Cardiff Draconians: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parc Ynysderw, Swansea

Pontardawe TownCardiff Draconians

The Footlab model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Cardiff Draconians. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontardawe Town vs Cardiff Draconians?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Pontardawe Town (1,469) and Cardiff Draconians (1,549).

Pontardawe Town win41 %
Draw24 %
Cardiff Draconians win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontardawe Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Cardiff Draconians have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontardawe Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Afan Lido(away)0-1FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026Newport City(home)0-4FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026Pontypridd Town(away)2-3FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Caerphilly Athletic(home)3-0FAW Championship
Apr 20, 2024Baglan Dragons(away)2-1FAW Championship
Cardiff Draconians
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026llanelli AFC(home)4-2FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026Pontypridd Town(home)1-4FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026Caerphilly Athletic(away)0-0FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Ynyshir Albions(away)0-1FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026Afan Lido(home)4-1FAW Championship

How many goals should we expect?

Pontardawe Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff Draconians score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pontardawe Town1.32.137/1510/15
Cardiff Draconians1.72.0110/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontardawe Town sit 13th in FAW Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Cardiff Draconians sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Cardiff Draconians4112574
13Pontardawe Town4103583

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontardawe Town vs Cardiff Draconians?
The Footlab model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Cardiff Draconians.
Where and when is Pontardawe Town vs Cardiff Draconians played?
Pontardawe Town vs Cardiff Draconians is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parc Ynysderw, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pontardawe Town and Cardiff Draconians

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