Pontardawe Town vs Cardiff Draconians: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parc Ynysderw, Swansea
The Footlab model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Cardiff Draconians. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontardawe Town vs Cardiff Draconians?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Pontardawe Town (1,469) and Cardiff Draconians (1,549).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontardawe Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Cardiff Draconians have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Pontardawe Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff Draconians score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontardawe Town | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Cardiff Draconians | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontardawe Town sit 13th in FAW Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Cardiff Draconians sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontardawe Town vs Cardiff Draconians?
- The Footlab model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Cardiff Draconians.
- Where and when is Pontardawe Town vs Cardiff Draconians played?
- Pontardawe Town vs Cardiff Draconians is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parc Ynysderw, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 19, 2027Pontypridd TownvsCaerau (Ely)
- Mar 19, 2027Baglan DragonsvsNewport City
- Mar 19, 2027llanelli AFCvsCaerphilly Athletic
- Mar 20, 2027Trethomas BluebirdsvsSwansea University
- Mar 20, 2027Llantwit MajorvsYnyshir Albions
- Mar 20, 2027Treowen StarsvsCarmarthen Town
- Mar 20, 2027Aberystwyth TownvsAfan Lido