llanelli AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 26Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire
The Footlab AI model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Caerphilly Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If llanelli AFC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate llanelli AFC (1,535) and Caerphilly Athletic (1,561).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for llanelli AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
llanelli AFC
Not enough data to predict the llanelli AFC lineup.
Caerphilly Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Caerphilly Athletic lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Caerphilly Athletic have 4, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 2-6 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
llanelli AFC score 0.8 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caerphilly Athletic score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| llanelli AFC | 0.8 | 3.1 | 0 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Caerphilly Athletic | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/14 | 11/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
llanelli AFC sit 16th in FAW Championship (2 points from 11 matches) and Caerphilly Athletic sit 11th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 2 |
A question about llanelli AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for llanelli AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Caerphilly Athletic.
- Where and when is llanelli AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic played?
- llanelli AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic is played on March 19, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Stebonheath Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 19, 2027Pontypridd TownvsCaerau (Ely)
- Mar 19, 2027Baglan DragonsvsNewport City
- Mar 20, 2027Llantwit MajorvsYnyshir Albions
- Mar 20, 2027Trethomas BluebirdsvsSwansea University
- Mar 20, 2027Pontardawe TownvsCardiff Draconians
- Mar 20, 2027Treowen StarsvsCarmarthen Town
- Mar 20, 2027Aberystwyth TownvsAfan Lido