Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion
The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido?
Aberystwyth Town starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,542).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aberystwyth Town
Not enough data to predict the Aberystwyth Town lineup.
Afan Lido
Not enough data to predict the Afan Lido lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Afan Lido have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 5-5 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Aberystwyth Town wins, 0 draws, 1 Afan Lido win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Afan Lido 2-5 Aberystwyth Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Afan Lido 0-1 Aberystwyth Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 28, 2014 | Aberystwyth Town 7-1 Afan Lido | Premier League |
| Feb 18, 2014 | Afan Lido 0-6 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2014 | Aberystwyth Town 5-1 Afan Lido | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Afan Lido | 1.7 | 1.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aberystwyth Town sit 3rd in FAW Championship (19 points from 9 matches) and Afan Lido sit 10th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 19 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 12 |
A question about Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Afan Lido.
- Where and when is Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido played?
- Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Park Avenue, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 19, 2027Pontypridd TownvsCaerau (Ely)
- Mar 19, 2027Baglan DragonsvsNewport City
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- Mar 20, 2027Pontardawe TownvsCardiff Draconians
- Mar 20, 2027Treowen StarsvsCarmarthen Town
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