Match

Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion

Aberystwyth TownAfan Lido

The Footlab model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Aberystwyth Town (1,577) and Afan Lido (1,496).

Aberystwyth Town win59 %
Draw21 %
Afan Lido win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Afan Lido have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aberystwyth Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Llantwit Major(home)5-1FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026Treowen Stars(home)1-2FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Afan Lido(away)5-2FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026Ynyshir Albions(away)0-0FAW Championship
Apr 11, 2026Cwmbran Celtic(away)1-3FAW Championship
Afan Lido
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Pontardawe Town(home)1-0FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026Carmarthen Town(away)1-3FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026Llantwit Major(home)5-0FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Aberystwyth Town(home)2-5FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026Cardiff Draconians(away)1-4FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Aberystwyth Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Afan Lido win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Afan Lido 2-5 Aberystwyth TownFAW Championship
Mar 28, 2026Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Afan LidoFAW Championship
Sep 27, 2025Afan Lido 0-1 Aberystwyth TownFAW Championship
Mar 28, 2014Aberystwyth Town 7-1 Afan LidoPremier League
Feb 18, 2014Afan Lido 0-6 Aberystwyth TownPremier League
Feb 1, 2014Aberystwyth Town 5-1 Afan LidoWelsh Cup

Last archived meeting: Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aberystwyth Town score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aberystwyth Town1.51.647/1510/15
Afan Lido1.71.757/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aberystwyth Town sit 6th in FAW Championship (6 points from 3 matches) and Afan Lido sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Aberystwyth Town32011156
8Afan Lido4202986

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido?
The Footlab model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Afan Lido.
Where and when is Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido played?
Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Park Avenue, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Aberystwyth Town and Afan Lido

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