Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion
The Footlab model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Aberystwyth Town (1,577) and Afan Lido (1,496).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Afan Lido have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Aberystwyth Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Afan Lido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Afan Lido 2-5 Aberystwyth Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Afan Lido 0-1 Aberystwyth Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 28, 2014 | Aberystwyth Town 7-1 Afan Lido | Premier League |
| Feb 18, 2014 | Afan Lido 0-6 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2014 | Aberystwyth Town 5-1 Afan Lido | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Afan Lido | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aberystwyth Town sit 6th in FAW Championship (6 points from 3 matches) and Afan Lido sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aberystwyth Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido?
- The Footlab model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Afan Lido.
- Where and when is Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido played?
- Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Park Avenue, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 19, 2027llanelli AFCvsCaerphilly Athletic
- Mar 19, 2027Pontypridd TownvsCaerau (Ely)
- Mar 19, 2027Baglan DragonsvsNewport City
- Mar 20, 2027Llantwit MajorvsYnyshir Albions
- Mar 20, 2027Pontardawe TownvsCardiff Draconians
- Mar 20, 2027Treowen StarsvsCarmarthen Town
- Mar 20, 2027Trethomas BluebirdsvsSwansea University