Where and when is Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia II played?

Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia II is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón

Bala Azul

UCAM Murcia II

The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia II?

UCAM Murcia II starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,737).

Bala Azul win27 %

Draw26 %

UCAM Murcia II win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; UCAM Murcia II have 6, 8 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bala Azul
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	UD Caravaca(home)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Cieza(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Muleño(home)	3-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Olímpico Totana(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Cartagena LU II(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

UCAM Murcia II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Águilas II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Muleño(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Mazarrón FC(home)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	El Palmar(away)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bala Azul win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 UCAM Murcia II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	UCAM Murcia II 1-1 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 19, 2025	Bala Azul 0-0 UCAM Murcia II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 20, 2025	Bala Azul 0-1 UCAM Murcia II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 8, 2024	UCAM Murcia II 1-0 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 17, 2022	Bala Azul 1-2 UCAM Murcia II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 5, 2021	UCAM Murcia II 0-1 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: UCAM Murcia II vs Bala Azul on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; UCAM Murcia II score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bala Azul	1.5	1.3	6	9/15	8/15
UCAM Murcia II	2.3	1.3	3	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bala Azul sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (38 points from 34 matches) and UCAM Murcia II sit 6th (55 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	UCAM Murcia II	34	13	16	5	55	37	55
11	Bala Azul	34	7	17	10	36	36	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia II?: The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Bala Azul.
Where and when is Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia II played?: Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia II is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.