Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 · Matchday 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón
The Footlab AI model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1. If UCAM Murcia II wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia II?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Bala Azul (1,729) and UCAM Murcia II (1,813).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bala Azul
Not enough data to predict the Bala Azul lineup.
UCAM Murcia II
Not enough data to predict the UCAM Murcia II lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 09:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; UCAM Murcia II have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Bala Azul(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bala Azul wins, 3 draws, 3 UCAM Murcia II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II 2-2 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II 1-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Bala Azul 0-0 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Bala Azul 0-1 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCAM Murcia II 1-0 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Bala Azul 1-2 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: UCAM Murcia II vs Bala Azul on Nov 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; UCAM Murcia II score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| UCAM Murcia II | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Azul sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (13 points from 9 matches) and UCAM Murcia II sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UCAM Murcia II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Bala Azul | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
A question about Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia II?
- The Footlab AI model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Bala Azul.
- Where and when is Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia II played?
- Bala Azul vs UCAM Murcia II is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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